Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.003334 0.003661 0.004011 0.004412 0.004862 0.005350 0.005922
2026-01-18 0.002758 0.003212 0.003731 0.004372 0.005146 0.006054 0.007209
2026-01-25 0.002409 0.002917 0.003525 0.004313 0.005315 0.006559 0.008236
2026-02-01 0.002189 0.002735 0.003413 0.004327 0.005541 0.007118 0.009356
2026-02-08 0.001990 0.002551 0.003270 0.004272 0.005653 0.007519 0.010285
2026-02-15 0.001814 0.002378 0.003120 0.004183 0.005697 0.007815 0.011083
2026-02-22 0.001704 0.002281 0.003058 0.004204 0.005885 0.008320 0.012223
2026-03-01 0.001639 0.002237 0.003063 0.004313 0.006205 0.009037 0.013753
2026-03-08 0.001527 0.002118 0.002952 0.004243 0.006245 0.009329 0.014637
2026-03-15 0.001425 0.002007 0.002842 0.004162 0.006258 0.009574 0.015461
2026-03-22 0.001348 0.001927 0.002772 0.004135 0.006350 0.009947 0.016535
2026-03-29 0.001297 0.001881 0.002749 0.004177 0.006554 0.010519 0.018019
2026-04-05 0.001222 0.001796 0.002665 0.004123 0.006605 0.010856 0.019153
2026-04-12 0.001156 0.001723 0.002595 0.004086 0.006684 0.011252 0.020461
2026-04-19 0.001092 0.001649 0.002518 0.004032 0.006725 0.011582 0.021674
2026-04-26 0.001048 0.001603 0.002483 0.004045 0.006886 0.012143 0.023425
2026-05-03 0.000995 0.001539 0.002415 0.003994 0.006924 0.012473 0.024736
2026-05-10 0.000941 0.001470 0.002333 0.003912 0.006895 0.012670 0.025779
2026-05-17 0.000909 0.001436 0.002308 0.003931 0.007060 0.013264 0.027790
2026-05-24 0.000893 0.001428 0.002328 0.004032 0.007392 0.014234 0.030810
2026-05-31 0.000850 0.001373 0.002261 0.003966 0.007386 0.014494 0.032170
2026-06-07 0.000809 0.001318 0.002192 0.003892 0.007355 0.014693 0.033410
2026-06-14 0.000779 0.001280 0.002150 0.003867 0.007424 0.015119 0.035288